In 1972, here is what a computer model predicted

Hi there.

This is an interesting interview with Graham Turner, very lateral thinking and research about world sustainability and economic growth from the human perspective.

It’s an essential viewing as it explains quite clearly how we can’t continue with the economic, social and political systems we all support today.

In the 70’s a book “The Limits to Growth” pushed the collapse of civilization to 2072, when the limits of growth would be the most readily apparent and result in population and industrial declines.

Criticism of the book was nearly immediate, and harsh. The New York Times, for instance, wrote, “Its imposing apparatus of computer technology and systems jargon.

It also takes arbitrary assumptions, shakes them up and comes out with arbitrary conclusions that have the ring of science,” concluding that the book was “empty and misleading.”

Others argued that the book’s view of what constitutes a resource could change over time, leaving their data shortsighted to any possible changes in consumption habits.

The tide for the book’s finds have changed over time, however. In 2014, Graham Turner, then a research fellow at the University Melbourne’s Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute, collected data from various agencies within the United Nations.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and other outlets, plotting their data alongside the findings of the World3 model.


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